Over the months and years, I’ve watched America transition from a tolerant, bastion of free speech, to a divided nation where intolerance abounds and the only permitted political comments are those lauded towards their new Caesar, President Donald J. Trump. Looking back, it was an inevitable love affair. On the international scene, presidential indecision had, by 2017 left the US looking weaker than at any other time in history. America hasn’t won a major sustained war on its own since Word War 2, though there have been a few ‘successes’ if you include smaller interventions.
In 1983, the US swiftly invaded Grenada (with an estimated population, then 110,000) and overthrow the Marxist military government. Similarly, in 1990, in Operation Just Cause, they quickly ousted dictator Manuel Noriega and installed a democratically elected government. I do not include the Gulf War as this broadly successful conflict involved a 35-nation coalition, of which the US was only a part.Prosperity on the Home Front
On the home front, US citizens were at their most affluent (if defined by how easily a single wage earner could buy a home, raise a family and buy a car) under Dwight Eisenhower, while they were able to save the most under Nixon and Carter;
although, unemployment was high under Reagan and Ford, but healthcare arrangements were improved the most for the elderly and low-income populations under Lyndon B. Johnson, though I’m sure some readers would argue in providing cover to over 30 million Americans, Obama’s Affordable Care Act deserves mention.Against
this, Trump has referred to his own presidency as a “very beautiful and
romantic time”, and after his first term, “our country was thriving, we were
just beating everyone,” but is this true?
International
markers during both Trump eras show that, if we examine the Happy Planet Index (a
tool created by the New Economic Foundation to measure national well-being, we
see Costa Rica is top, the UK comes in at 34th, while the US is way
behind at 108th. Equally, if we look at the Human Development Index,
an UN-inspired economic tool to measure economic opportunity and capability, Norway
is top, the US 13th and the UK close behind at 14th.
Finally, using the OECDs Better Lives Index, a tool identifying 11 facets
essential to well-being (housing, income, jobs, community, education,
environment, civic engagement, health life satisfaction, safety and work-life
balance), Norway, Finland and Denmark come top and the US is far behind in 15th
place.
Similarly,
if we explore the rate of inflation over the last twenty years, the U.S. has
averaged roughly 2.5% to 3.0% annually, marked by a period of historic
stability between 2006–2020, followed by a massive 40-year peak of 9.1% under Trump in 2022
due to pandemic-era factors, and more recently, we see a volatile run back up
to 4.25% due to recent energy price shocks following the Iran war.
Given this why I fail to see anything beautiful or romantic about
Trump’s two presidencies, especially when you remember unemployment went to its
highest during his first term at 14.7%. Now you might accuse me of being unfair
given this was during the Covid lockdown, but comparatively during the same
era, Japan kept unemployment to between 2.8 and 3.3%, Germany averaged 3.8% and
the UK averaged 4.9%. So clearly something went badly wrong with Trump’s
economic policy.
Taking the honesty test
Although
a very bitter pill to swallow, it might be possible to forgive him if he was
honest, but what is widely known and has been proven beyond doubt is the level
of his dishonesty resulting in a criminal grand jury indicting him on one count
of making “false statements and representations”. This related specifically to hiding subpoenaed classified
documents from his attorney, who was trying to return them to the government.
And let’s not forget his 34 felony counts for falsifying business records in
the first degree.
By
now, “true defenders” will argue Trump is frequently maligned and these
prosecutions should never have happened because they were either errors or, at
worst, business matters with no bearing on his political acumen or integrity.
These are by far from his only dishonest actions. There are plenty more – let’s
look at just a few:
1. “Already, I’ve secured a record-breaking
$18 trillion of investment into the United States.” It would have been great if
it were true, but it was false.
2. “Our country was being invaded by an army of
25 million people.” Those numbers weren’t even close to being true.
3. “I was elected in a landslide.” Untrue.
4. “The price of a Thanksgiving turkey was
down 33% compared to Biden last year.” It wasn’t true.
5. Trump said the Republicans’ “One Big
Beautiful Bill” passed this year included, among other things, “no tax on
Social Security.” Sound nice, but it wasn’t actually part of the package.
6. “When I took office, inflation was the worst
in 48 years, and some would say in the history of our country.” Trump says this
all the time, but as I showed above, it was demonstrably false.
7. “I’ve … settled eight wars in 10 months.” I
get the sense he’s convinced himself this happened, but it hasn’t, no matter
how many times he repeats the line.
8. “Gasoline is now under $2.50 a gallon
into much of the country. In some states, it, by the way, just hit $1.99 a
gallon.” This is a weird thing to lie about, since consumers know better, but
for the record, this obviously was not true.
9. “The price of eggs is down 82% since March,
and everything else is falling rapidly.” Trump would have been even more popular
if this were true, but it was a lie.
1. “I negotiated directly with the drug
companies and foreign nations, which were taking advantage of our country for
many decades, to slash prices on drugs and pharmaceuticals by as much as 400%,
500% and even 600%.” This whopper came close to the top spot because of the sheer absurdity of the lie.
1 “Between 3 million and 5 million illegal
votes caused me to lose the popular vote.” (There is no evidence of illegal
voting.).
1 “Take a look at the Pew reports (which
show voter fraud.)” (The report never mentioned voter fraud.)
1 “After being forced to apologize for its
bad and inaccurate coverage of me after winning the election, the FAKE NEWS
@nytimes is still lost!” (It never apologized.)
. “I saved a lot of money on those jets,
didn't I? Did I do a good job? More than $725 million on them.” (Many of the
cost cuts were planned before Trump.)
I
could go on, but rather than bore you, I will move on, as many journalists now
argue there may be as many as 20,000 – 30,000 other lies I could have included.
I am no great follower of either TV, or TV personalities, but I believe there
is one celebrity called Judge Judith Sheindlin, who once said a teenager is
likely lying simply if "their mouth is moving". It seems this is also
true of President Trump.
Trump on the international
stage
But it is on foreign policy he has failed the most. During his two terms, he has consistently miscalculated the strength or weakness of other parties, as well as often making promises he was obviously incapable of achieving. Take his much-touted promise to solve the ongoing conflict in Ukraine within 24-hours; a promise that ultimately fell completely flat. This failure, combined with repeated wavering commitments to NATO has discredited the United States as a dependable security provider and forced many European allies to reconsider their own defence postures. This became apparent when Trump called on NATO countries to support his action in Iran, only to find they all pretty much refused point blank. Or his operation to oust Venezuela's elected (albeit in a highly contentious election) ex-President Nicolas Maduro; a unilateral action to remove a national leader without any discussion with his allies.

It
is unlikely they would have disagreed with the operation, but the fact he chose
to move without consultation created a lot of global uncertainty, leading experts
and senior diplomats to warn this unpredictable approach damaged diplomatic
relations and emboldened other competitors. Essentially, his rogue action
created an uncertainty where it became unclear where, or how, Trump might act
in the future. Could he attack Guatemala, Cambodia or Turkey simply because
their leaders came to power in unfair elections? The Maduro kidnap occurred because
the US accused him of “narco-terrorism”, but could the same happen to other
leaders in Ecuador, Colombis, or Mexico? Outrageous perhaps, but Trump’s
foreign policy has lacked finesse and forethought leading many countries to distance
themselves.
As
for the relationship between the US and Russia, far from easing tensions, it
has become a strained dynamic, because while Trump previously sought a close,
transactional friendship with Putin to resolve global conflicts, it has shifted
to frustration as Moscow’s aggressive actions in Ukraine continue and peace becomes
increasingly elusive.
Equally,
and just as in Ukraine, the once warm relationship between Trump and Netanyahu
has deteriorated into name-calling and anger, but unlike Zelensky, Benjamin
Netanyahu has no fear of an American withdrawal and appears to almost welcome
to ‘go alone’ and destroy Hezbollah on his own, if necessary.
The Iran Deal
The
recent agreement between the Trump administration and Iran has ripped the mask
off the so-called “Best Friends Forever” relationship between Trump and Netanyahu.
If we explore his history, we can see how Trump tends to favour alliances with
political strongmen, often siding with them over traditional friends and allies,
but only so long as they serve his personal purpose. However, the moment they
outlive their usefulness, or become a personal liability, the friendship
evaporates instantly.
For
Netanyahu, the writing is now on the wall, and Trump has decided to fly solo while
ignoring Netanyahu and the needs of the Israeli people; any fealty to Trump has
run its course. The Iran deal is so profoundly detrimental to Israel that what
was once a political asset - the bond with Trump—has become a liability.
As
for the rest of the world, the Wall Street Journal defined it perfectly in
their editorial when they argued: “President Trump is touting his latest ceasefire
deal with Iran as peace in our time,” the Journal writes, “but the world is
more likely to see it as a strategic retreat short of achieving his war aim.”
In
fact, I must ask did he ever have any war aims, beyond destroying their nuclear
capability? Sure, he told the Iranian people “help is on its way”, but it never
really happened and anyway, it was primarily the Israeli Air Force who attacked
and killed Ayatollah Khamenei and eliminated much of the IRGC hierarchy, while
US forces concentrated on military and nuclear bases.
Much
to Trump’s surprise, Iran did not capitulate – they stood their ground and
fired back resulting in a financial cost (according to the Pentagon) of
approximately $29 billion, though Sen. Chris Murphy argues the cost may be much
higher and could be as much as $60 billion, along with the lives of 13 US military
personnel.
With
Republicans in Congress increasingly unhappy about the war and mid-terms due in
November, Trump panicked and as we saw from the “Agreement”, pretty much
capitulated on everything. Even his declaration of the terms of the agreement
was hysterical, with him refusing to announce its content until the actual day
of signing, while Tehran took the upper hand and were so cock-a-hoop they
announced the full contents a full week earlier AND claimed victory in the
war.
As
Melanie Phillips the political commentator so eloquently stated in her blog:
“He
has surrendered America to Iran.
He
himself admitted that he stopped the war because of the threat of economic
catastrophe if it continued. That was because of the oil shock caused by Iran
seizing control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump
was therefore signalling that America was powerless to defeat the regime. At a
stroke, he turned the United States into a paper tiger, seen to be unwilling to
do what it takes to fight a war until victory.
He
thus ensured that Tehran would have the upper hand in everything that now
follows in the negotiations for a final “deal.” It will be able to run rings
round the Americans over the proposed “online blending” of the enriched uranium
Trump once pledged to destroy, the destruction of centrifuges, disarmament verification,
or anything else.”
After
several military disasters over the last few years, the US needed a victory in
Iran and with Trump’s “Make America Great Again” banners flying high, he looked
to be the man to do it. He had everything in his favour: a strong ally with a
highly trained and experienced well-equipped military, a region eager to see
Iranian influence shut down, on the home front a nation angry with the
Ayatollahs and eager to see justice for the Iranian people, and a powerful US military
dedicated to defending democracy and freedom.
Trump
should have been unbeatable – but somehow, he managed to snatch defeat from the
jaws of victory.
Political Comment
Unquestionably,
the United States is full of people who pride themselves on their courage and
loyalty; a people who are ever eager to defend the oppressed; and, to their
eternal credit, a people who, quite simply, don’t like bullies. I’m not
American but I can understand their pride and their patriotism – they have
fought hard for it. Occasionally, there are people who superficially say all
the right things, sound strong and upright, but beneath the bustle and bravado
there is weakness. We have seen it in the UK – in 1939, Neville Chamberlain
sucked up to Hitler so heavily, it was frightening and had Lord Halifax become
prime minister instead of Winston Churchill, this post would have been written in
German.
Despite
the bravado and unusual delivery (albeit joyously funny, after all, his presidency
will be remembered for his ability to create several new words to the language,
including ‘bigly’,’ braggadocios’, ’hamburrderers’, ‘panican’, and my favourite ‘confide’).
But despite the humour, let me be clear, Trump is weak and collapses when the
conflict is tough. The international media have a nickname for him, calling him
“TACO” Trump, an acronym standing for “Trump Always Chickens Out”. Sadly, in
the last three months it’s a title he has earned:
21st
March – Trump issued a 48-hour deadline then extended it.
31st
March – He told Iran to make a deal, or US would obliterate energy plants.
1st
April – “We will bomb Iran into the Stone Age.”
5th
April – “open the f****n’ Straits, you crazy b******s or you will be living in hell”.
7th
April – “An entire civilisation will die tonight.”
21st
April – “I expect to be bombing.”
4
– 5th May - Operation Project Freedom designed to escort ships
through the Straits but lasted no more than a day when Iran fired on US military
forces.
11th
June – “The US will hit very hard tonight” but cancelled the attack only hours
later.
Was
it any wonder Iran didn’t believe a single threat Trump made and felt justified
in assuming they could go into negotiations with an upper hand.
Make
no mistake, despite the “agreement” this war is not over, because Iran believe
they are winning and while Trump may be too weak to continue, we all know Israel
will not back down and if the US does not finish the job, Israel will do it for
them.


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